Andrew Allison

Archive for the ‘Election 2008’ Category

Has Guiliani hit the buffers?

In Election 2008, Giuliani, McCain, US president on January 12, 2008 at 12:42 pm

It looks like Guiliani is running out of dollars. His campaign staff have been asked to work without pay.

My hunch is that Guiliani will pull out of the race after Super Tuesday. It is much better to be trailing in the field and then come good when it matters, than to be leading for months and then running out of steam. I have said before that many Americans regard him first and foremost as a New York man. I think he would have made a good president – certainly better than Hilary could ever be – but my money is on McCain. If Guiliani does pull out, that should give McCain a free run at the nomination. Quite frankly the other Republican candidates just aren’t credible, despite what Iowan republicans think.

Link: Britain and America


Good news for Obama

In Clinton, Election 2008, Obama, US president on January 7, 2008 at 5:10 pm

Barack Obama has now rocketed past Hillary Clinton with a 10 point lead in New Hampshire, according to a new opinion poll. Oh dear, I do feel for her 😉

Link: Reuters

Iowa Caucus

In Election 2008, US president on January 5, 2008 at 12:18 pm

Yesterday, I made a prediction about the US Presidential Election. I said the misguided Democrats would go for Hillary. I want to expand on this.

The win in Iowa for Barack Obama is significant. Thanks to Iain Dale, I discovered that there are less than 5% non-white voters in the state, and in a country where race still dominates the agenda, Obama couldn’t have had a better start.

I have said before that Clinton is a divisive figure is US politics. She certainly doesn’t have the charm of her husband, but with his support, backing and appeal, I think she will mount a revival in her fortunes. Without Bill, she is going nowhere. With Bill, she will win the nomination. For me, it’s a simple as that.

Momentum is also with John McCain and I think he will keep it. Voters want a safe pair of hands in the White House, and McCain is certainly that. To many in the US, Giuliani is perceived as a New York man, and not a man for America.

So for me, it will be Clinton and McCain slugging it out later this year, and the latter will be inaugurated in January 2009.